Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%
chance
KSh 1.3B volNov 8

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%
chance
KSh 1.3B volNov 8

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%
chance
KSh 1.3B volNov 8

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

98%
chance
KSh 1.2B volJan 1

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

3%
chance
KSh 1.2B volJan 1

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2%
chance
KSh 1.2B volNov 8

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

5%
chance
KSh 129.1M volJan 1

Iran leadership change by November 30?

2%
chance
KSh 128.7M volDec 1

Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

1%
chance
KSh 128.2M volMay 31

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

2%
chance
KSh 125.3M volJan 5

Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

2%
chance
KSh 125.0M volMay 31

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

9%
chance
KSh 124.3M volNov 30

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

98%
chance
KSh 123.3M volJan 1

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

94%
chance
KSh 122.0M volJan 1

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

2%
chance
KSh 121.9M volJan 1

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

59%
chance
KSh 121.7M volJan 1

Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

4%
chance
KSh 121.6M volJan 25

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

14%
chance
KSh 119.8M volJun 20

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

90%
chance
KSh 117.9M volDec 31

Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

8%
chance
KSh 12.9M volJan 26

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

8%
chance
KSh 12.9M volJan 1

Epic Games IPO before 2027?

2%
chance
KSh 12.9M volJan 1

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

10%
chance
KSh 12.9M volDec 31

AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?

25%
chance
KSh 12.8M volJul 1

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

96%
chance
KSh 12.8M volJan 1

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?

8%
chance
KSh 12.8M volJan 1

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

12%
chance
KSh 12.7M volJan 1

Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?

2%
chance
KSh 12.7M volDec 26

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

4%
chance
KSh 12.6M volJan 1

Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?

1%
chance
KSh 12.5M volJun 15

Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

17%
chance
KSh 12.5M volJan 1

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?

8%
chance
KSh 12.5M volJan 1

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

6%
chance
KSh 12.4M volJan 1

Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?

8%
chance
KSh 12.2M volJan 1

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

8%
chance
KSh 12.2M volJan 1

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?

42%
chance
KSh 12.2M volJan 1

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

1%
chance
KSh 12.2M volJan 3

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?

5%
chance
KSh 12.2M volDec 1

Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?

14%
chance
KSh 12.2M volMay 31

Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?

39%
chance
KSh 12.1M volJan 1

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

5%
chance
KSh 12.1M volJan 1

Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

37%
chance
KSh 12.1M volMar 1

Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

13%
chance
KSh 12.1M volJul 1

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%
chance
KSh 12.1M volJan 1

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

2%
chance
KSh 12.0M volJan 1

Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

72%
chance
KSh 12.0M volJan 28

Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

18%
chance
KSh 12.0M volJul 1

Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?

1%
chance
KSh 12.0M volJun 15